Nürnberg vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 3
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
SVS
1 - 2
FCN
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 0
ALT
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 2
BRE
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DAR
2 - 0
FCN
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 1
BRE
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 1
HOL
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 1
SGD
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HSV
1 - 1
HOL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
HOF
5 - 1
HOL
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |