Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
F95
1 - 1
FCN
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 1
BOC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 1
FCN
27%
27%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FCN
3 - 1
UNT
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 2
FCN
36%
24%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 1
MSV
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
FSV
1 - 2
SGF
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SGF
0 - 2
STP
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 2
KSC
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
GCZ
1 - 2
SGF
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |