Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
KSC
1 - 0
FCN
58%
19%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
VFR
0 - 3
FCN
56%
20%
24%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
EIN
2 - 1
FCN
57%
21%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
FCN
7 - 0
SSV
81%
11%
8%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
REU
3 - 1
FCN
42%
22%
36%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
SGF
4 - 3
BYM
71%
16%
13%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SGF
3 - 1
TSA
72%
16%
12%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1954 |
HES
1 - 1
SGF
55%
21%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
SGF
2 - 1
KSC
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
FSV
0 - 0
SGF
68%
18%
15%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |