Nürnberg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.4%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.4%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.3%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.7%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.4%
1.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1946 |
FCN
3 - 1
FSV
91%
6%
3%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SCH
0 - 1
FCN
16%
20%
65%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
FCN
3 - 1
TSA
87%
8%
5%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
WAL
2 - 1
FCN
13%
19%
69%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
FCN
4 - 0
KFV
93%
5%
2%
|
91 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1946 |
SGF
4 - 0
KFV
72%
15%
13%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1946 |
AUG
1 - 1
SGF
89%
7%
3%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1946 |
SGF
3 - 1
OFC
15%
18%
67%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | +2 |
| 05 May. 1946 |
EIN
5 - 2
SGF
92%
6%
2%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1946 |
SGF
3 - 1
VFR
65%
17%
18%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |