Nürnberg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EBT
3 - 2
FCN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 1
KSC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
STP
2 - 2
FCN
33%
26%
42%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 3
DAR
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 0
SVS
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
F95
1 - 0
HEI
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
3 - 0
F95
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
F95
2 - 2
SSV
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
F95
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
2 - 1
F95
26%
23%
51%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |