Nürnberg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 1
FCN
44%
25%
32%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 6
STU
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
WEH
0 - 6
FCN
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 1
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
1 - 1
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 2
ING
37%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
ING
0 - 2
MAG
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
MEP
0 - 2
ING
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
ING
2 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
ZWI
0 - 3
ING
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |