Nürnberg vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2020 |
STP
1 - 0
FCN
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
FCN
0 - 3
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
KSC
0 - 1
FCN
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
FCN
1 - 2
DAR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 2
FCN
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SVS
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SGD
2 - 1
ERZ
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ERZ
3 - 0
HSV
21%
24%
56%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
OSN
0 - 0
ERZ
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ERZ
1 - 2
HOL
28%
25%
48%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |