Nürnberg vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1997 |
AAA
0 - 0
FCN
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1997 |
FCN
4 - 1
SCF
23%
24%
52%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
GUT
4 - 2
FCN
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FCN
2 - 1
QUF
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1997 |
CZJ
1 - 1
STP
37%
26%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
CZJ
0 - 3
COT
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
SVS
2 - 1
CZJ
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1997 |
CZJ
1 - 1
WAT
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
LOK
3 - 3
CZJ
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |