Nürnberg vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
FCN
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 1
EBT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HEI
2 - 3
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 2
SGD
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 1
VFR
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
2 - 1
WUR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
HAN
2 - 1
BOC
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 1
KSC
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
MON
1 - 4
BOC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
FCU
2 - 1
BOC
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |