Nürnberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
WWO
0 - 4
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
FCN
6 - 5
HOM
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
M05
2 - 0
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
FCN
2 - 2
AUG
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1974 |
MUN
3 - 2
FCN
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 0
BNE
45%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
KSC
5 - 1
BAY
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1975 |
BAY
4 - 1
PIR
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
RVO
1 - 1
BAY
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BAY
3 - 0
HOM
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |