Nürnberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
MUN
0 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
FCN
1 - 1
SSV
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
HES
0 - 0
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
FCN
2 - 2
BUR
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
HEI
2 - 1
FCN
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
BAY
4 - 0
FRE
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
SCH
3 - 0
BAY
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
BAY
7 - 0
VFR
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
FSV
2 - 0
BAY
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
BAY
5 - 1
BAY
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |