Nürnberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
HEI
5 - 1
FCN
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
FCN
4 - 2
SVS
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
HES
2 - 2
FCN
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
FCN
0 - 3
BAY
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FCN
5 - 2
SCH
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BAY
2 - 0
WAL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
SGF
2 - 1
BAY
46%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
BAY
3 - 1
SSV
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
BUR
1 - 5
BAY
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
BAY
3 - 1
HEI
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |