Nürnberg vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
FSV
0 - 1
FCN
14%
25%
62%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
FCN
1 - 1
KSC
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BAY
0 - 4
FCN
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
FCN
3 - 0
FRE
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
SGF
0 - 4
FCN
19%
27%
54%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BAY
1 - 1
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
HES
2 - 0
BAY
68%
17%
14%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
BAY
1 - 1
VIL
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
REU
3 - 2
BAY
63%
19%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
BAY
1 - 0
ORU
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |