Nürnberg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BRE
4 - 1
FCN
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
EIN
0 - 2
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
FCN
3 - 1
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
ROS
2 - 0
FCN
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCN
1 - 3
BOC
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BYM
3 - 1
MUN
70%
18%
13%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WER
0 - 3
BYM
18%
24%
58%
|
92 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
BYM
3 - 1
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
HSV
0 - 3
BYM
27%
27%
46%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
BYM
6 - 2
ARB
73%
17%
10%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |