Nürnberg vs Bayern München analysis

Nürnberg Bayern München
77 ELO 80
-1.3% Tilt -0.8%
535º General ELO ranking
37º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.6%
Nürnberg
21.7%
Draw
35.7%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.7%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg
+5%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Nürnberg
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 1943
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 3
First Vienna
VIE
41%
21%
38%
76 80 4 0
19 Sep. 1943
MSB
MSV Brno
1 - 5
Nürnberg
FCN
20%
21%
59%
76 13 63 0
12 Sep. 1943
SCH
Schweinfurt
2 - 4
Nürnberg
FCN
33%
23%
44%
76 55 21 0
24 Aug. 1941
SVS
Stuttgarter Kickers
4 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
39%
23%
39%
77 60 17 -1
10 Aug. 1941
FCN
Nürnberg
4 - 1
Greuther Fürth
SGF
86%
9%
5%
77 34 43 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 1943
AUG
FC Augsburg
3 - 0
Bayern München
BYM
36%
23%
42%
81 64 17 0