Nürnberg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
HSV
1 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 0
RAP
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 2
HAN
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
COT
1 - 1
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
FCN
0 - 1
BRE
25%
24%
51%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
HAN
0 - 3
LEV
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
LEV
2 - 0
BOC
57%
23%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
S04
1 - 1
LEV
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 0
KSC
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |