Nürnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FCN
1 - 0
WOL
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
STU
3 - 0
FCN
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
EIN
1 - 3
FCN
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FCN
1 - 1
BYM
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
FCN
1 - 1
BOC
42%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 0
LEV
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
COT
1 - 0
ARB
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 0
KSC
40%
27%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
HSV
1 - 1
ARB
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ARB
1 - 1
BRE
18%
22%
60%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |