Nürnberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCN
33%
27%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FCN
2 - 1
AUG
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
RWA
0 - 0
FCN
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FCN
0 - 2
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ROS
1 - 0
AAA
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
AAA
2 - 1
WEH
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WEG
1 - 4
AAA
11%
18%
72%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AAA
1 - 3
TUS
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
STP
0 - 2
AAA
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |