Nürnberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 5
FCN
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FCN
3 - 1
EIN
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
SSV
2 - 1
FCN
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCN
3 - 0
UNT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 1
FCN
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2004 |
ARB
3 - 0
AAA
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
AAA
4 - 2
FCU
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 3
AAA
30%
24%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 0
SSV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
AAA
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |