DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 3-5
Nürnberg vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
KSC
1 - 7
FCN
58%
20%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
FCN
1 - 1
OFC
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
FCN
2 - 3
ULM
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
AAA
3 - 3
FCN
33%
22%
45%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
AAA
1 - 1
SVS
81%
11%
8%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
SKF
0 - 1
AAA
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
AAA
3 - 3
PRE
77%
13%
10%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
AAA
4 - 0
S04
63%
18%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
AAA
3 - 3
FCN
33%
22%
45%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |