Nürnberg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 3
FCN
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
SGF
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BOC
5 - 4
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
FCN
1 - 2
MUN
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
ING
1 - 2
FCN
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
FCU
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 1
FCU
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
FCU
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCU
4 - 0
KSC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARB
4 - 4
FCU
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |