Nürnberg vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FSV
2 - 1
FCN
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FCN
0 - 0
SGF
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ERZ
0 - 1
FCN
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VFR
1 - 2
FCN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
FCN
2 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FCU
2 - 1
BOC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
FCU
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
F95
1 - 0
FCU
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
KSC
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
EBT
1 - 1
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |