Nürnberg vs Köln analysis

Nürnberg Köln
81 ELO 76
-10.7% Tilt 1.8%
535º General ELO ranking 85º
37º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
48%
Nürnberg
27.1%
Draw
25%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
Nürnberg
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
24.9%
Win probability
Köln
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nürnberg
+2%
-3%
Köln

ELO progression

Nürnberg
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2010
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
79%
14%
8%
80 89 9 0
27 Oct. 2010
ELV
SV Elversberg
0 - 3
Nürnberg
FCN
11%
20%
69%
80 50 30 0
23 Oct. 2010
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
25%
25%
49%
80 86 6 0
16 Oct. 2010
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 2
Nürnberg
FCN
39%
27%
34%
80 76 4 0
02 Oct. 2010
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
23%
26%
51%
79 87 8 +1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2010
KOL
Köln
3 - 2
Hamburger SV
HSV
19%
22%
60%
76 87 11 0
26 Oct. 2010
KOL
Köln
3 - 0
1860 München
MUN
59%
22%
19%
76 70 6 0
23 Oct. 2010
HAN
Hannover 96
2 - 1
Köln
KOL
58%
23%
20%
76 79 3 0
15 Oct. 2010
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
19%
22%
59%
76 88 12 0
02 Oct. 2010
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 2
Köln
KOL
48%
26%
26%
77 76 1 -1