Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
37%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
MON
2 - 0
FCN
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
FCN
2 - 3
BRE
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
BOC
0 - 0
FCN
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
FCN
3 - 0
F95
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1990 |
KAI
3 - 1
FCN
63%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1990 |
KOL
4 - 0
BYM
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
HER
0 - 0
KOL
28%
29%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
KOL
3 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
KOL
0 - 1
BVB
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1990 |
EIN
1 - 0
KOL
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |