Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
HSV
2 - 1
FCN
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
FCN
2 - 0
SAA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
HAN
0 - 2
FCN
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
FCN
3 - 1
S04
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
STU
3 - 1
FCN
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
0 - 2
MON
46%
23%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 1
KFC
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
4 - 0
KSV
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 1
HSV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
SAA
1 - 2
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |