Nürnberg vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
HER
5 - 1
FCN
63%
20%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
FCN
0 - 5
STU
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
GWA
0 - 3
FCN
15%
18%
68%
|
80 | 10 | 70 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
MON
1 - 2
FCN
68%
17%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
FCN
2 - 2
HSV
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
KOL
3 - 0
KAI
55%
22%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
KOL
2 - 1
S04
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
BVB
2 - 0
KOL
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 3
M05
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
KOL
3 - 1
KFC
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |