New Project vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Project
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
RFA
10 - 0
FCN
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
FCN
0 - 1
AUD
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FCN
2 - 1
BAL
86%
10%
3%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
GRO
3 - 1
FCN
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
FCN
0 - 2
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SMI
7 - 1
BAL
94%
5%
2%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
SMI
33%
23%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 3
SMI
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
FKT
5 - 0
SMI
73%
16%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SMI
3 - 1
SUP
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |