Nelson vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
MET
1 - 1
FCN
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
FCN
3 - 2
WAI
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
FCN
4 - 1
CHR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MIR
0 - 2
FCN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
3 - 1
MAN
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
CHR
5 - 2
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
MIR
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
MTW
1 - 0
DUN
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |