Neftchi vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
NEF
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 0
NEF
9%
17%
75%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 3
KBA
84%
13%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
FKA
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FTS
2 - 1
TAL
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 1
FTS
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FTS
1 - 5
ALG
30%
25%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FTS
0 - 1
DBI
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 3
FTS
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |