Neftchi vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
KBA
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
NUB
1 - 0
NEF
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 3
NEF
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
DBI
1 - 0
NEF
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
DBI
3 - 1
NEF
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 3
FTS
75%
17%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FTS
1 - 0
KBA
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
FTS
1 - 1
DBI
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
ALG
2 - 0
FTS
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
FTS
0 - 1
FKA
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |