Neftchi vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 3
FTS
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
NEF
14%
19%
67%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 0
NEF
9%
17%
75%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 3
KBA
84%
13%
4%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
ALG
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
FKA
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
KBA
87%
10%
3%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 2
DBI
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 2
FKA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |