Neftchi vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
FKA
2 - 1
NEF
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
NEF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
KGU
0 - 1
NEF
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DBI
6 - 0
NEF
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
ALK
1 - 0
NEF
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
FKA
2 - 1
NEF
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ABD
3 - 1
FKA
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
DBI
1 - 2
FKA
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 0
FKA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
FKA
0 - 3
DBI
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |