Neftchi vs Talant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 3
NEF
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 3
MUR
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
NEF
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DBI
3 - 2
NEF
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 3
TAL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Talant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 0
DBI
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TAL
0 - 0
DBI
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
TAL
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 3
TAL
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 3
FKA
30%
22%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |