FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir vs AS BNG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
11º
30
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NPN
2 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
NPN
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
NPN
1 - 1
DIA
21%
25%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
3 - 0
NPN
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JUK
1 - 0
NPN
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AS BNG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BNG
0 - 1
DIA
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BNG
0 - 3
ETO
53%
24%
22%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
INT
4 - 1
BNG
41%
28%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
BNG
0 - 2
CHE
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BNG
2 - 2
LEO
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |