FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir vs Étoile Du Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
10º
14º
11º
45
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Nathaly's de Pointe-Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BNG
1 - 0
NPN
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
0 - 2
MOK
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
0 - 0
KON
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NPN
1 - 1
CHE
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NPN
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Étoile Du Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
ETO
54%
26%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AOD
1 - 0
ETO
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
JUK
0 - 0
ETO
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ETO
1 - 0
PAT
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |