FC Naples vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1734%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
9º
9º
14
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
26 | 53 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 42 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 37 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
35.5% | 97% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
PHP
2 - 1
NAP
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
NAP
0 - 1
OKS
23%
26%
52%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
NAP
1 - 1
TAM
6%
12%
82%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
RIC
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 1
OMA
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
OMA
2 - 2
PHP
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 18 | 55 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
STC
2 - 0
OMA
47%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FMA
0 - 0
OMA
18%
25%
58%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
OMA
1 - 0
USA
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |