FC Naples vs Texoma FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1706%
+788%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
9º
9º
20
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
22 | 53 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 52 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 51 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 48 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 46 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 29 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
14º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
45% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 1
WES
81%
12%
7%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
AVA
4 - 1
NAP
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAP
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 2
CRW
22%
23%
56%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +3 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GTR
1 - 1
NAP
64%
22%
15%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Texoma FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
1 - 1
TFC
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
0 - 1
PHP
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
TFC
2 - 0
FMA
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPV
1 - 1
TFC
84%
11%
6%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
TFC
3 - 2
CHA
21%
24%
55%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | +1 |