FC Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1706%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
10º
10º
23
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
24 | 55 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 50 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 50 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 48 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 47 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 41 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 31 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 24 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Naples
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
GTR
1 - 1
NAP
64%
22%
15%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
NAP
3 - 1
OMA
21%
25%
55%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
PHP
2 - 1
NAP
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
NAP
0 - 1
OKS
23%
26%
52%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CRW
2 - 1
PHP
79%
13%
7%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 2
CRW
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRW
0 - 0
RIC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
NSC
1 - 0
CRW
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |