Mutschellen vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
50
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
REG
3 - 0
MUT
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 3
DIE
10%
14%
76%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 1
MUT
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MUT
2 - 4
OLD
10%
14%
76%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
5 - 0
MUT
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RSZ
2 - 1
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIE
1 - 0
RSZ
48%
23%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSZ
1 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
0 - 0
RSZ
47%
22%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RSZ
2 - 1
FCU
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |