Mutschellen vs Pratteln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
33
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
OLD
4 - 2
MUT
92%
6%
2%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 1
FCU
15%
18%
68%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 2
MUT
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 3
FCG
15%
17%
69%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
MUT
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Pratteln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
3 - 3
REG
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 2
PRA
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 0
OLD
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCU
4 - 0
PRA
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
3 - 0
PRA
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |