Mutschellen vs Muttenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
83.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
57
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
BUB
3 - 1
MUT
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 4
ZOF
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RSZ
3 - 1
MUT
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 3
MUT
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 2
REG
35%
22%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Muttenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
MUT
3 - 3
REG
93%
5%
2%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 1
MUT
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 0
PRA
85%
9%
6%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 2
MUT
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 3
FCU
78%
12%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |