Mutschellen vs Liestal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
77.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
46
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
BIN
2 - 4
MUT
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUT
1 - 1
MUT
6%
11%
84%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BUB
3 - 1
MUT
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUT
0 - 4
ZOF
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
RSZ
3 - 1
MUT
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Liestal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LIE
4 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DIE
3 - 1
LIE
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
PRA
76%
14%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 1
LIE
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 0
FCU
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |