Mutschellen vs Unterstrass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
11º
14º
15º
39
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
59% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutschellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 2
MUT
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
0 - 3
FCG
15%
17%
69%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
MUT
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
1 - 2
BIN
19%
19%
62%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MUT
5 - 0
MUT
90%
7%
4%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
REG
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DIE
4 - 1
FCU
78%
13%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCU
4 - 0
PRA
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 0
OLD
13%
15%
72%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +4 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCW
1 - 0
FCU
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |