FC Muri vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
16º
15º
42
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
FCM
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 2
ROT
58%
19%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
FCM
59%
19%
23%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCM
2 - 6
LAN
14%
18%
69%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
FCM
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 2
FCS
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 0
FCT
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 0
FCT
18%
19%
63%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCT
2 - 1
CHA
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LAC
3 - 3
FCT
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |