FC Muri vs Emmenbrücke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
16º
15º
40
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 3
FCM
68%
16%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 4
SCE
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BRU
2 - 2
FCM
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 3
LAC
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
FCM
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Emmenbrücke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
3 - 2
FCS
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ROT
4 - 1
EMM
46%
21%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 2
CHA
40%
21%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
4 - 3
EMM
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EMM
0 - 6
ZUG
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |