Muri-Gümligen vs Spiez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
37%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
14º
7º
22
2º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
GUM
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GUM
2 - 1
MAT
80%
12%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ROM
3 - 2
GUM
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
GUM
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUM
1 - 2
BBB
23%
20%
58%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
FCC
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 2
FCE
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
TAV
5 - 1
FCS
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCS
58%
19%
23%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 1
DUD
21%
18%
61%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |