Muri-Gümligen vs Lommiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+3994%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
11º
31
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muri-Gümligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 0
GUM
35%
22%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUM
0 - 0
DUD
59%
19%
22%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
TAV
5 - 6
GUM
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 0
GUM
31%
22%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GUM
1 - 6
STA
80%
12%
7%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lommiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 1
DOR
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIN
4 - 2
FCL
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 1
FBN
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
FCL
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
DUD
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |