Morobe Wawens vs Tusbab Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morobe Wawens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FCB
4 - 1
FCM
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TSF
1 - 1
FCM
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HEK
2 - 1
FCM
89%
9%
3%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 0
FCM
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PRK
2 - 1
FCM
57%
20%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tusbab Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
TSF
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TSF
0 - 3
HEK
7%
14%
78%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TSF
1 - 1
FCM
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PRK
1 - 2
TSF
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TSF
0 - 5
FCB
31%
22%
48%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |