Morobe Wawens vs Tusbab Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
29.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morobe Wawens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
FCM
2 - 3
LAE
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FCM
3 - 0
MFC
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 2
FCM
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
FCM
68%
17%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
HEE
7 - 0
FCM
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Tusbab Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
6 - 1
TSF
67%
18%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TSF
1 - 2
LAE
11%
17%
71%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TSF
2 - 0
LFC
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BES
4 - 1
TSF
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
TSF
1 - 2
MFC
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |