Montlingen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LEM
0 - 2
LUG
17%
22%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 2
LOC
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 5
LUG
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
WOH
0 - 4
LUG
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
2 - 1
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |